Zizou Bergs vs Marin Cilic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 22, 2026 • 9:00 AM
Key insights
Player performance profile
Zizou Bergs
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,811 points across 69 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,811 points across 69 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 34% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 53% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.8 | 58% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 72% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Marin Cilic
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,894 points across 32 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,894 points across 32 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.7 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -7.4 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 27% | 8% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Zizou Bergs and Marin Cilic are set to meet at the Madrid on April 22, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Bergs enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Cilic has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Bergs leads 1–0 over Cilic, including a win in their most recent meeting.