Match analytics

Zhizhen Zhang vs Hubert Hurkacz · Match odds & ELO prediction

Marseille • Hard • Feb 13, 2025 • 3:10 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 1

Winner Zhizhen Zhang

Key insights

Player performance profile

Zhizhen Zhang

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

41%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~2,559 points across 17 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.477% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-6.52% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+7.695% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Hubert Hurkacz

HARD

80% · 41 on hard

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~3,869 points across 26 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.996% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-4.48% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.267% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
58%70% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Zhizhen Zhang and Hubert Hurkacz are set to meet at the Marseille on February 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Zhang enters with a 4–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Hurkacz has posted a 7–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Zhang entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Hurkacz leads 3–2 over Zhang.

Recent singles form slightly favors Hurkacz, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Zhang has gone 1–4 over the same span.