Zeynep Sonmez vs Cristina Bucsa · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2026 • 10:30 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Zeynep Sonmez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Zeynep Sonmez
56% · 10–8 on hard
75% · 6–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,217 points across 64 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,217 points across 64 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 72% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.1 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cristina Bucsa
50% · 7–7 on hard
0% · 0–1 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,241 points across 72 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,241 points across 72 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.6 | 42% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 41% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Zeynep Sonmez and Cristina Bucsa are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Sonmez enters with a 6–2 record on clay courts in 2026, while Bucsa has posted a 0–1 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Sonmez, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.