Yuta Shimizu vs Sho Shimabukuro · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 19, 2025 • 7:45 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Yuta Shimizu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yuta Shimizu
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,001 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,001 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sho Shimabukuro
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,291 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,291 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.1 | 75% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 88% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -11.1 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yuta Shimizu and Sho Shimabukuro are set to meet at the US Open on August 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Shimizu enters with a 20–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shimabukuro has posted a 31–20 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shimabukuro entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shimizu leads 3–1 over Shimabukuro, including a win in their most recent meeting.