Yuta Shimizu vs Sho Shimabukuro · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 19, 2025 • 7:45 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Yuta Shimizu
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yuta Shimizu
55% · 12–10 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,001 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,001 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sho Shimabukuro
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,449 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.9 | 71% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.5 | 78% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 70% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 90% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yuta Shimizu and Sho Shimabukuro are set to meet at the US Open on August 19, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Shimizu enters with a 20–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shimabukuro has posted a 31–20 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shimabukuro entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Shimizu leads 4–2 over Shimabukuro.