Yuta Shimizu vs August Holmgren · Match odds & ELO prediction
Granby • Hard • Jul 18, 2025 • 2:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner August Holmgren
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yuta Shimizu
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,001 points across 6 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,001 points across 6 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 23% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 54% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.1 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
August Holmgren
50% · 12–12 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,135 points across 16 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.5 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.5 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +4.3 | 83% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yuta Shimizu and August Holmgren are set to meet at the Granby on July 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Shimizu enters with a 20–22 record on hard courts in 2025, while Holmgren has posted a 15–15 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Holmgren, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Holmgren leads 2–0 over Shimizu, including a win in their most recent meeting.