Yunchaokete Bu vs Jacob Fearnley · Match odds & ELO prediction
Madrid • Clay • Apr 24, 2025 • 7:15 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jacob Fearnley
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yunchaokete Bu
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,500 points across 43 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,500 points across 43 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.0 | 8% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 26% | 7% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jacob Fearnley
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,167 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yunchaokete Bu and Jacob Fearnley are set to meet at the Madrid on April 24, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Bu enters with a 6–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Fearnley has posted a 10–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Fearnley, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fearnley leads 3–0 over Bu, including a win in their most recent meeting.