Yexin Ma vs Elvina Kalieva · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Cary, NC • Hard • Jul 4, 2025 • 4:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Yexin Ma
Key insights
Player performance profile
Yexin Ma
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~270 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~270 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.7 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 80% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.5 | 63% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elvina Kalieva
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~665 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~665 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.8 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 48% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Yexin Ma and Elvina Kalieva are set to meet at the W100 Cary, NC on July 4, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Ma enters with a 35–23 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kalieva has posted a 23–22 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Kalieva leads 2–1 over Ma, including a win in their most recent meeting.