BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Xinyu Gao vs Aliona Falei · Match odds & ELO prediction

Jiujiang • Hard • Oct 26, 2025 • 3:00 AM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Aliona Falei

Key insights

Player performance profile

Xinyu Gao

HARD

59% · 107 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

50% · 22 on clay

Games won (last 10)

54%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~1,531 points across 11 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
1.169% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.942% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-2.924% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
40%25% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Aliona Falei

HARD

83% · 204 on hard

CLAYSmall sample

0% · 02 on clay

Games won (last 10)

43%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~704 points across 4 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-1.719% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.370% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.913% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Xinyu Gao and Aliona Falei are set to meet at the Jiujiang on October 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gao enters with a 21–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Falei has posted a 29–22 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Gao leads 2–1 over Falei.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Gao and Falei alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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