Xinran Sun vs Mia Ristic · Match odds & ELO prediction
Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification • Clay • May 7, 2026 • 9:55 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mia Ristic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Xinran Sun
75% · 6–2 on hard
100% · 1–0 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Mia Ristic
33% · 2–4 on hard
56% · 9–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~230 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~230 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 90% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Xinran Sun and Mia Ristic are set to meet at the Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification on May 7, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Sun enters with a 1–0 record on clay courts in 2026, while Ristic has posted a 9–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Ristic, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Ristic leads 1–0 over Sun, including a win in their most recent meeting.