Wakana Sonobe vs Sofia Kenin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tokyo • Hard • Oct 23, 2025 • 8:10 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Sofia Kenin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Wakana Sonobe
69% · 22–10 on hard
0% · 0–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~824 points across 7 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~824 points across 7 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.5 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 43% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sofia Kenin
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,312 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,312 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.8 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 56% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Wakana Sonobe and Sofia Kenin are set to meet at the Tokyo on October 23, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Sonobe enters with a 22–10 record on hard courts in 2025, while Kenin has posted a 19–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Kenin, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Kenin leads 1–0 over Sonobe, including a win in their most recent meeting.