Vilius Gaubas vs Alejandro Moro Canas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras • Clay • Jan 19, 2026 • 2:20 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Vilius Gaubas
Key insights
Player performance profile
Vilius Gaubas
63% · 5–3 on hard
50% · 10–10 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,888 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.6 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.5 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alejandro Moro Canas
57% · 8–6 on hard
46% · 6–7 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,325 points across 9 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,325 points across 9 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.8 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Vilius Gaubas and Alejandro Moro Canas are set to meet at the Oeiras on January 19, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Gaubas enters with a 10–10 record on clay courts in 2026, while Canas has posted a 6–7 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gaubas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Canas leads 2–1 over Gaubas, including a win in their most recent meeting.