Victoria Mboko vs Leylah Fernandez · Match odds & ELO prediction
Strasbourg • Clay • May 21, 2026 • 4:25 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Victoria Mboko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Victoria Mboko
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
60%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,725 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,725 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.2 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leylah Fernandez
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,355 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.0 | 89% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.5 | 45% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Victoria Mboko and Leylah Fernandez are set to meet at the Strasbourg on May 21, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Mboko enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Fernandez has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mboko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Mboko leads 1–0 over Fernandez, including a win in their most recent meeting.