Victoria Mboko vs Elena Rybakina · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tokyo • Hard • Oct 24, 2025 • 2:45 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Elena Rybakina
Key insights
Player performance profile
Victoria Mboko
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,566 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,566 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Elena Rybakina
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
59%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,358 points across 92 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,358 points across 92 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 7.6 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 59% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Victoria Mboko and Elena Rybakina are set to meet at the Tokyo on October 24, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Mboko enters with a 41–8 record on hard courts in 2025, while Rybakina has posted a 42–13 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Rybakina entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.