Match analytics

Victoria Mboko vs Caty McNally · Match odds & ELO prediction

WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 21, 2026 • 2:30 AM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Victoria Mboko

Key insights

Player performance profile

Victoria Mboko

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,636 points across 45 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.582% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-0.158% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.971% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%65% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Caty McNally

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~4,336 points across 31 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
0.654% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-1.237% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
+0.349% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
33%17% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Victoria Mboko and Caty McNally are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Mboko enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while McNally has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mboko entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Mboko and McNally have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.