Victoria Mboko vs Caty McNally · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Australian Open • Hard • Jan 21, 2026 • 2:30 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Victoria Mboko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Victoria Mboko
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,566 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,566 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.3 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.8 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 75% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Caty McNally
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,059 points across 36 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,059 points across 36 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 43% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 55% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.2 | 50% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Victoria Mboko and Caty McNally are set to meet at the WTA Australian Open on January 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Mboko enters with a 1–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while McNally has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Mboko entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, McNally leads 2–1 over Mboko, including a win in their most recent meeting.