Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Miriana Tona · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 22, 2026 • 8:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
53% · 8–7 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
38%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,257 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,257 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.0 | 65% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Miriana Tona
64% · 9–5 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~791 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~791 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 70% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.3 | 96% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva and Miriana Tona are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kasintseva enters with a 8–7 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tona has posted a 9–5 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasintseva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasintseva leads 2–0 over Tona, including a win in their most recent meeting.