Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Miriana Tona · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 22, 2026 • 8:05 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,027 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,027 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.7 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.6 | 74% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.3 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 54% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Miriana Tona
50% · 5–5 on hard
60% · 25–17 on clay
Games won (last 10)
42%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~791 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~791 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.7 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 71% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +8.3 | 94% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva and Miriana Tona are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Kasintseva enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tona has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasintseva entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasintseva leads 2–0 over Tona, including a win in their most recent meeting.