Varvara Lepchenko vs Nina Stojanovic · Match odds & ELO prediction
French Open • Clay • May 22, 2025 • 12:45 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Nina Stojanovic
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
43%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,537 points across 26 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,537 points across 26 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.9 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Nina Stojanovic
56% · 9–7 on hard
54% · 7–6 on clay
60% · 3–2 on grass
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,260 points across 13 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~2,260 points across 13 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +9.4 | 97% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 89% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Lepchenko and Nina Stojanovic are set to meet at the French Open on May 22, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Lepchenko enters with a 21–17 record on clay courts in 2025, while Stojanovic has posted a 7–6 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Stojanovic entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.