Varvara Lepchenko vs Katrina Scott · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Merida • Hard • Feb 21, 2026 • 6:45 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Varvara Lepchenko
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Lepchenko
52% · 17–16 on hard
55% · 21–17 on clay
25% · 1–3 on grass
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,932 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.0 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 3% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.4 | 19% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Katrina Scott
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~129 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~129 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.3 | 50% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Lepchenko and Katrina Scott are set to meet at the WTA Merida on February 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Lepchenko enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Scott has posted a 0–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Lepchenko, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.