Varvara Gracheva vs Rebecca Sramkova · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Dubai • Hard • Feb 16, 2026 • 7:20 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Varvara Gracheva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Rebecca Sramkova
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,203 points across 56 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,203 points across 56 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 54% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 63% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Gracheva and Rebecca Sramkova are set to meet at the WTA Dubai on February 16, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Gracheva enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sramkova has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gracheva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gracheva leads 2–1 over Sramkova, including a win in their most recent meeting.