Varvara Gracheva vs Madison Brengle · Match odds & ELO prediction
US Open • Hard • Aug 18, 2025 • 6:35 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Varvara Gracheva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,663 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,663 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.2 | 57% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Madison Brengle
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
9 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~333 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~333 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.5 | 5% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 63% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.0 | 17% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Gracheva and Madison Brengle are set to meet at the US Open on August 18, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Gracheva enters with a 20–15 record on hard courts in 2025, while Brengle has posted a 10–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Gracheva entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.