Varvara Gracheva vs Kamilla Rakhimova · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Clay • May 16, 2025 • 11:40 AM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Varvara Gracheva
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Kamilla Rakhimova
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,262 points across 57 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,262 points across 57 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 35% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.2 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 40% | 27% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Gracheva and Kamilla Rakhimova are set to meet at the Paris on May 16, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Gracheva enters with a 9–8 record on clay courts in 2025, while Rakhimova has posted a 7–8 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Gracheva, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gracheva leads 3–1 over Rakhimova, including a win in their most recent meeting.