Varvara Gracheva vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Match odds & ELO prediction
Wimbledon • Grass • Jun 30, 2025 • 12:45 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Key insights
Player performance profile
Varvara Gracheva
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,422 points across 60 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.1 | 60% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.5 | 71% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 83% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,408 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,408 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 35% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.4 | 88% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 76% | 90% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Varvara Gracheva and Aliaksandra Sasnovich are set to meet at the Wimbledon on June 30, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Gracheva enters with a 4–3 record on grass courts in 2025, while Sasnovich has posted a 7–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sasnovich entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Gracheva leads 2–1 over Sasnovich, including a win in their most recent meeting.