BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Valentina Steiner vs Daria Kasatkina · Match odds & ELO prediction

Strasbourg • Clay • May 16, 2026 • 12:25 PM

Clay

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Daria Kasatkina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Valentina Steiner

HARD

50% · 99 on hard

CLAY

71% · 156 on clay

Games won (last 10)

55%

3 matches tracked · limited sample

Player Skillset

Based on ~115 points across 1 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
1.976% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.778% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.732% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Insufficient data

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Daria Kasatkina

HARD

44% · 45 on hard

CLAY

71% · 52 on clay

Games won (last 10)

62%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,149 points across 49 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Vulnerable
-3.28% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.097% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.545% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
55%57% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Valentina Steiner and Daria Kasatkina are set to meet at the Strasbourg on May 16, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Steiner enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Kasatkina has posted a 5–2 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Kasatkina entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Kasatkina leads 1–0 over Steiner, including a win in their most recent meeting.

In terms of recent singles results, Kasatkina has gone 4–1 over his last 5 matches, while data for Steiner is more limited.
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