Valentin Vacherot vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monte Carlo • Clay • Apr 10, 2026 • 3:30 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Valentin Vacherot
Key insights
Player performance profile
Valentin Vacherot
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,131 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,131 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.9 | 83% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 25% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 28% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,942 points across 94 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~13,942 points across 94 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.7 | 24% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 39% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Valentin Vacherot and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Monte Carlo on April 10, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Vacherot enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Minaur has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Minaur entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Vacherot leads 1–0 over Minaur, including a win in their most recent meeting.