Valentin Royer vs Josef Schwaerzler Joel · Match odds & ELO prediction
Oeiras 3 • Clay • Apr 17, 2026 • 2:25 PM
Final score
2 - 1
Winner Valentin Royer
Key insights
Player performance profile
Valentin Royer
17% · 2–10 on hard
62% · 8–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,828 points across 53 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,828 points across 53 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.2 | 73% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 42% | 26% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Josef Schwaerzler Joel
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~460 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 50% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.4 | 76% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Valentin Royer and Josef Schwaerzler Joel are set to meet at the Oeiras 3 on April 17, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Royer enters with a 8–5 record on clay courts in 2026, while Joel has limited recorded results on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Royer leads 1–0 over Joel, including a win in their most recent meeting.