Ugo Humbert vs Denis Shapovalov · Match odds & ELO prediction
Halle • Grass • Jun 17, 2025 • 12:10 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Denis Shapovalov
Key insights
Player performance profile
Ugo Humbert
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,672 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,672 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.2 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.6 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.1 | 75% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 61% | 76% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Denis Shapovalov
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,294 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,294 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 32% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 81% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.2 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 63% | 78% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Ugo Humbert and Denis Shapovalov are set to meet at the Halle on June 17, 2025 in a grass-court singles match. Humbert enters with a 4–4 record on grass courts in 2025, while Shapovalov has posted a 1–3 mark on grass courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Shapovalov entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.