Trevor Svajda vs Mackenzie McDonald · Match odds & ELO prediction
ATP Indian Wells • Hard • Mar 4, 2026 • 12:30 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Mackenzie McDonald
Key insights
Player performance profile
Trevor Svajda
69% · 27–12 on hard
Games won (last 10)
47%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~383 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~383 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.0 | 2% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.0 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mackenzie McDonald
59% · 32–22 on hard
20% · 1–4 on clay
55% · 6–5 on grass
Games won (last 10)
53%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,168 points across 48 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,168 points across 48 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 48% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.4 | 62% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.2 | 66% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 58% | 69% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Trevor Svajda and Mackenzie McDonald are set to meet at the ATP Indian Wells on March 4, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Svajda enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while McDonald has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for McDonald, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, McDonald leads 2–0 over Svajda, including a win in their most recent meeting.