Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Korda · Match odds & ELO prediction
Delray Beach • Hard • Feb 22, 2026 • 9:05 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Sebastian Korda
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tommy Paul
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,879 points across 63 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,879 points across 63 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.3 | 75% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 93% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 53% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Sebastian Korda
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,004 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,004 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 88% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.3 | 61% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +3.6 | 78% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 71% | 93% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tommy Paul and Sebastian Korda are set to meet at the Delray Beach on February 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Paul enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Korda has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paul entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Korda leads 4–2 over Paul, including a win in their most recent meeting.