Tommy Paul vs Agustin Tirante Thiago · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 21, 2026 • 12:10 AM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Tommy Paul
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tommy Paul
0% · 0–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 58 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,032 points across 58 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.6 | 78% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 92% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.8 | 41% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 47% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Agustin Tirante Thiago
54% · 7–6 on hard
67% · 8–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,706 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,706 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 76% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.8 | 33% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.6 | 14% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 10% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tommy Paul and Agustin Tirante Thiago are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 21, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Paul enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Thiago has posted a 7–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paul entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.