Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2026 • 6:10 AM
Final score
3 - 1
Winner Tomas Machac
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tomas Machac
62% · 8–5 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,714 points across 49 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,714 points across 49 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 64% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.0 | 67% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +7.0 | 93% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Stefanos Tsitsipas
56% · 9–7 on hard
50% · 3–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,531 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,531 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.8 | 92% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.5 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.0 | 48% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 62% | 77% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tomas Machac and Stefanos Tsitsipas are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Machac enters with a 8–5 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tsitsipas has posted a 9–7 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Machac, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Machac leads 2–1 over Tsitsipas, including a win in their most recent meeting.