Match analytics

Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipas · Match odds & ELO prediction

ATP Australian Open • Hard • Jan 22, 2026 • 3:30 AM

Hard

Key insights

Player performance profile

Tomas Machac

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

51%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,268 points across 40 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
2.578% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.753% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+7.896% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
69%91% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

HARDSmall sample

100% · 30 on hard

Games won (last 10)

52%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~6,458 points across 40 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
3.892% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.240% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.834% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
56%63% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Tomas Machac and Stefanos Tsitsipas are set to meet at the ATP Australian Open on January 22, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Machac enters with a 0–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Tsitsipas has posted a 3–0 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tsitsipas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 1–0 over Machac, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Both players enter with respectable recent form, as Machac and Tsitsipas have each won three or more of their last five singles matches.