Tomas Machac vs Jannik Sinner · Match odds & ELO prediction
Doha • Hard • Feb 16, 2026 • 4:40 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Jannik Sinner
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tomas Machac
62% · 8–5 on hard
50% · 4–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,133 points across 51 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~8,133 points across 51 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.6 | 65% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 69% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.1 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 67% | 88% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jannik Sinner
93% · 39–3 on hard
85% · 11–2 on clay
89% · 8–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
63%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,289 points across 84 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,289 points across 84 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 8.6 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 4.3 | 100% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.0 | 86% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 81% | 98% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tomas Machac and Jannik Sinner are set to meet at the Doha on February 16, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Machac enters with a 8–5 record on hard courts in 2026, while Sinner has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Sinner entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Sinner leads 4–0 over Machac, including a win in their most recent meeting.