Tomas Barrios Vera vs Cristian Garin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Rio de Janeiro • Clay • Feb 15, 2025 • 7:10 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Tomas Barrios Vera
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tomas Barrios Vera
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,320 points across 22 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~3,320 points across 22 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 16% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.9 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.7 | 72% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 43% | 30% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,605 points across 29 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,605 points across 29 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.4 | 31% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 82% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.2 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 19% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tomas Barrios Vera and Cristian Garin are set to meet at the Rio de Janeiro on February 15, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Vera enters with a 42–20 record on clay courts in 2025, while Garin has posted a 38–13 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Garin, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Garin leads 3–2 over Vera, including a win in their most recent meeting.