Toby Samuel vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
Tenerife • Hard • Feb 3, 2026 • 3:20 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniel Merida Aguilar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Toby Samuel
75% · 3–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
67%
10 matches tracked
Daniel Merida Aguilar
63% · 15–9 on hard
69% · 35–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
58%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,265 points across 8 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,265 points across 8 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.0 | 13% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.1 | 47% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.3 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Toby Samuel and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the Tenerife on February 3, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Samuel enters with a 3–1 record on hard courts in 2026, while Aguilar has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Samuel, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Aguilar leads 2–0 over Samuel, including a win in their most recent meeting.