Timofey Skatov vs Hugo Gaston · Match odds & ELO prediction
Monza • Clay • Apr 9, 2026 • 10:55 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Hugo Gaston
Key insights
Player performance profile
Timofey Skatov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,612 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,612 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -10.8 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Hugo Gaston
56% · 9–7 on hard
38% · 3–5 on clay
Games won (last 10)
44%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,381 points across 37 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.8 | 73% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.5 | 52% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 13% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Timofey Skatov and Hugo Gaston are set to meet at the Monza on April 9, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Skatov enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Gaston has posted a 3–5 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Skatov, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Gaston leads 2–0 over Skatov, including a win in their most recent meeting.