Timofey Skatov vs Cristian Garin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Lima 2 • Clay • Nov 4, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Cristian Garin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Timofey Skatov
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
48%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,612 points across 11 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~1,612 points across 11 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 22% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.7 | 96% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -10.8 | 1% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–5 on hard
57% · 8–6 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,321 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,321 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.0 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.2 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -5.5 | 9% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 35% | 16% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Timofey Skatov and Cristian Garin are set to meet at the Lima 2 on November 4, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Skatov enters with a 22–19 record on clay courts in 2025, while Garin has posted a 38–13 mark on clay courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Garin leads 2–1 over Skatov, including a win in their most recent meeting.