Tibo Colson vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Match odds & ELO prediction
M25 Doha • Hard • Jan 26, 2025 • 1:35 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Daniel Merida Aguilar
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tibo Colson
80% · 4–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~156 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~156 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.8 | 50% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.5 | 59% | Solid |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Daniel Merida Aguilar
63% · 15–9 on hard
69% · 35–16 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~708 points across 5 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.2 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 49% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.4 | 68% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tibo Colson and Daniel Merida Aguilar are set to meet at the M25 Doha on January 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Colson enters with a 25–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Aguilar has posted a 15–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Aguilar, but the gap is not overwhelming. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 1 wins.