Taylor Townsend vs Jasmine Paolini · Match odds & ELO prediction
Miami • Hard • Mar 20, 2026 • 8:30 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Jasmine Paolini
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Townsend
58% · 15–11 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
75% · 3–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
52%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,198 points across 42 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,198 points across 42 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.4 | 93% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +10.7 | 98% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 80% | 97% | Elite |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Jasmine Paolini
50% · 1–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,182 points across 74 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~10,182 points across 74 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.9 | 63% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.0 | 84% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +1.6 | 62% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 59% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Townsend and Jasmine Paolini are set to meet at the Miami on March 20, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Townsend enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Paolini has posted a 1–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Paolini entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Paolini leads 3–0 over Townsend, including a win in their most recent meeting.