Match analytics

Taylor Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov · Match odds & ELO prediction

Dallas • Hard • Feb 7, 2025 • 3:45 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Denis Shapovalov

Key insights

Player performance profile

Taylor Fritz

HARDSmall sample

25% · 13 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,236 points across 73 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
6.899% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.830% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.445% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%68% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Denis Shapovalov

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

46%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,294 points across 46 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.332% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
0.181% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Strong
+5.286% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
63%78% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Taylor Fritz and Denis Shapovalov are set to meet at the Dallas on February 7, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 36–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Shapovalov has posted a 23–14 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 4 wins.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Fritz and Shapovalov alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.