Taylor Fritz vs Cristian Garin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Australian Open • Hard • Jan 16, 2025 • 3:15 AM
Final score
3 - 0
Winner Taylor Fritz
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,150 points across 83 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,150 points across 83 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.9 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.3 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Cristian Garin
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
51%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,789 points across 30 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~4,789 points across 30 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.3 | 30% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 87% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -3.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 36% | 20% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Fritz and Cristian Garin are set to meet at the Australian Open on January 16, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 36–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Garin has posted a 6–6 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 3–1 over Garin, including a win in their most recent meeting.