Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin · Match odds & ELO prediction
Geneva • Clay • May 20, 2026 • 10:50 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexei Popyrin
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,625 points across 86 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,625 points across 86 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.8 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 26% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.4 | 34% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 56% | 65% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexei Popyrin
18% · 2–9 on hard
40% · 2–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,785 points across 46 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,785 points across 46 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 54% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -4.3 | 10% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 52% | 55% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Fritz and Alexei Popyrin are set to meet at the Geneva on May 20, 2026 in a clay-court singles match. Fritz enters with limited recorded results on clay courts in 2026, while Popyrin has posted a 2–3 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Popyrin leads 2–1 over Fritz, including a win in their most recent meeting.