Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik · Match odds & ELO prediction
Paris • Hard • Oct 30, 2025 • 3:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alexander Bublik
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~15,232 points across 89 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~15,232 points across 89 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.6 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alexander Bublik
100% · 4–0 on hard
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,157 points across 79 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~12,157 points across 79 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 3.6 | 90% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 25% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.8 | 74% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | 54% | 58% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Fritz and Alexander Bublik are set to meet at the Paris on October 30, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 36–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Bublik has posted a 20–16 mark on hard courts this season. Based on Elo ratings, this projects as a tight matchup with neither player holding more than a slight statistical edge. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 5–2 over Bublik, including a win in their most recent meeting.