Taylor Fritz vs Alex De Minaur · Match odds & ELO prediction
Finals - Turin • Hard • Nov 13, 2025 • 1:10 PM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Alex De Minaur
Key insights
Player performance profile
Taylor Fritz
25% · 1–3 on hard
Games won (last 10)
55%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~15,232 points across 89 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~15,232 points across 89 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.6 | 99% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.3 | 20% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.9 | 39% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 57% | 67% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Alex De Minaur
67% · 2–1 on hard
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,631 points across 98 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~14,631 points across 98 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.0 | 72% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.4 | 97% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.8 | 31% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 47% | 38% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Taylor Fritz and Alex De Minaur are set to meet at the Finals - Turin on November 13, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 36–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Minaur has posted a 41–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Minaur, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Fritz leads 5–4 over Minaur.