Match analytics

Taylor Fritz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Match odds & ELO prediction

Washington • Hard • Jul 26, 2025 • 2:45 AM

Hard

Final score

1 - 2

Winner Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Key insights

Player performance profile

Taylor Fritz

HARDSmall sample

25% · 13 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~12,236 points across 73 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
6.899% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.830% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-0.445% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
57%68% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

HARDSmall sample

0% · 01 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,601 points across 67 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-0.432% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
0.991% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Elite
+6.391% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
60%74% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Taylor Fritz and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina are set to meet at the Washington on July 26, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Fritz enters with a 36–16 record on hard courts in 2025, while Fokina has posted a 30–18 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Fritz entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 3 wins.

Recent singles form slightly favors Fokina, who has won 4 of his last five matches, while Fritz has gone 2–3 over the same span.