Tatjana Maria vs Leolia Jeanjean · Match odds & ELO prediction
Manila • Hard • Jan 27, 2026 • 9:40 AM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Tatjana Maria
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tatjana Maria
17% · 2–10 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Leolia Jeanjean
40% · 6–9 on hard
67% · 6–3 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,571 points across 44 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~5,571 points across 44 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 61% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.0 | 12% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +5.8 | 89% | Strong |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 73% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tatjana Maria and Leolia Jeanjean are set to meet at the Manila on January 27, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Maria enters with a 2–10 record on hard courts in 2026, while Jeanjean has posted a 6–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Jeanjean entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Maria leads 4–0 over Jeanjean, including a win in their most recent meeting.