Tatjana Maria vs Kimberly Birrell · Match odds & ELO prediction
WTA Dubai • Hard • Feb 15, 2026 • 8:50 AM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Kimberly Birrell
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tatjana Maria
17% · 2–10 on hard
56% · 5–4 on clay
Games won (last 10)
46%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~7,671 points across 55 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.2 | 27% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -3.1 | 11% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -6.9 | 6% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | 33% | 17% | Vulnerable |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Kimberly Birrell
64% · 16–9 on hard
0% · 0–2 on clay
Games won (last 10)
49%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,944 points across 65 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,944 points across 65 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.1 | 69% | Solid |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.9 | 41% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -0.2 | 46% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 60% | 70% | Solid |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tatjana Maria and Kimberly Birrell are set to meet at the WTA Dubai on February 15, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Maria enters with a 2–10 record on hard courts in 2026, while Birrell has posted a 16–9 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Birrell entering this matchup. Their head-to-head is currently level, with each player having recorded 2 wins.