Tatiana Pieri vs Ariana Geerlings Martinez · Match odds & ELO prediction
W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas • Clay • Jul 30, 2025 • 8:30 AM
Final score
0 - 2
Winner Ariana Geerlings Martinez
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tatiana Pieri
50% · 1–1 on hard
48% · 21–23 on clay
Games won (last 10)
50%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~456 points across 3 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~456 points across 3 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.6 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 6.7 | 100% | Elite |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -2.4 | 27% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Ariana Geerlings Martinez
25% · 1–3 on hard
67% · 30–15 on clay
Games won (last 10)
51%
8 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~268 points across 2 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~268 points across 2 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -0.7 | 33% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.7 | 76% | Strong |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +2.1 | 67% | Solid |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tatiana Pieri and Ariana Geerlings Martinez are set to meet at the W100 Gran Canaria-Maspalomas on July 30, 2025 in a clay-court singles match. Pieri enters with a 21–23 record on clay courts in 2025, while Martinez has posted a 30–15 mark on clay courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Martinez, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Martinez leads 2–0 over Pieri, including a win in their most recent meeting.