Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreno-Busta · Match odds & ELO prediction
Montpellier • Hard • Feb 5, 2026 • 1:40 PM
Final score
2 - 0
Winner Tallon Griekspoor
Key insights
Player performance profile
Tallon Griekspoor
0% · 0–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
54%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,933 points across 59 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~9,933 points across 59 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 2.8 | 80% | Strong |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -5.6 | 4% | Vulnerable |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +6.2 | 92% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | 65% | 86% | Strong |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Pablo Carreno-Busta
50% · 2–2 on hard
Games won (last 10)
56%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,151 points across 39 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~6,151 points across 39 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.1 | 38% | Shaky |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -2.4 | 38% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -1.0 | 40% | Shaky |
Tiebreak win % | 50% | 46% | Shaky |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
Tallon Griekspoor and Pablo Carreno-Busta are set to meet at the Montpellier on February 5, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Griekspoor enters with a 0–2 record on hard courts in 2026, while Carreno-Busta has posted a 2–2 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Griekspoor, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Griekspoor leads 2–1 over Carreno-Busta, including a win in their most recent meeting.