T. Lemaitre vs Mona Barthel · Match odds & ELO prediction
Les Sables d'Olonne • Hard • Feb 16, 2026 • 5:00 PM
Final score
1 - 2
Winner Mona Barthel
Key insights
Player performance profile
T. Lemaitre
Games won (last 10)
45%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~114 points across 1 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~114 points across 1 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | 0.4 | 100% | Elite |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | 1.5 | 29% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | +0.6 | 91% | Elite |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Mona Barthel
57% · 13–10 on hard
52% · 14–13 on clay
0% · 0–1 on grass
Games won (last 10)
57%
10 matches tracked
Player Skillset
Based on ~440 points across 4 matches
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Player Skillset
Based on ~440 points across 4 matches
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
Serve strengthServe strength
(Player serve win % - tour average serve win %)
scaled by sample size | -6.3 | 0% | Vulnerable |
Return strengthReturn strength
(Player return win % - tour average return win %)
scaled by sample size | -1.8 | 27% | Shaky |
Pressure IndexPressure Index
(Break point performance - baseline point performance)
with a small adjustment for tiebreak results | -4.1 | 18% | Vulnerable |
Tiebreak win % | Insufficient data | — | — |
Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.
Match Overview
T. Lemaitre and Mona Barthel are set to meet at the Les Sables d'Olonne on February 16, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Lemaitre enters with limited recorded results on hard courts in 2026, while Barthel has limited recorded results on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Lemaitre entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Barthel leads 1–0 over Lemaitre, including a win in their most recent meeting.