BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Match odds & ELO prediction

Dubai • Hard • Mar 1, 2025 • 3:15 PM

Hard

Final score

2 - 0

Winner Stefanos Tsitsipas

Key insights

Player performance profile

Stefanos Tsitsipas

HARDSmall sample

100% · 30 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,999 points across 52 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.689% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.145% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.434% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Solid
58%69% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Felix Auger-Aliassime

HARDSmall sample

50% · 11 on hard

Games won (last 10)

48%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~13,690 points across 84 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
5.296% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.755% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Solid
+2.370% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Elite
70%92% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Felix Auger-Aliassime are set to meet at the Dubai on March 1, 2025 in a hard-court singles match. Tsitsipas enters with a 13–12 record on hard courts in 2025, while Auger-Aliassime has posted a 43–16 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings point to a clear statistical advantage for Tsitsipas entering this matchup. In their head-to-head history, Tsitsipas leads 4–2 over Auger-Aliassime.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Tsitsipas and Auger-Aliassime alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
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