BUILD_STAMP:fix1-no-premium-endpoint-2026-03-05
Match analytics

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublev · Match odds & ELO prediction

Doha • Hard • Feb 19, 2026 • 12:15 PM

Hard

Final score

0 - 2

Winner Andrey Rublev

Key insights

Player performance profile

Stefanos Tsitsipas

HARDSmall sample

100% · 30 on hard

Games won (last 10)

53%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~7,497 points across 48 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Elite
4.292% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Shaky
-2.047% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Shaky
-1.141% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Strong
61%76% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Andrey Rublev

HARDSmall sample

67% · 21 on hard

Games won (last 10)

56%

10 matches tracked

Player Skillset

Based on ~10,188 points across 62 matches

Serve strengthServe strength (Player serve win % - tour average serve win %) scaled by sample size
Strong
3.287% Pctl
Return strengthReturn strength (Player return win % - tour average return win %) scaled by sample size
Solid
-1.658% Pctl
Pressure IndexPressure Index (Break point performance - baseline point performance) with a small adjustment for tiebreak results
Vulnerable
-4.913% Pctl
Tiebreak win %
Vulnerable
36%21% Pctl

Percentiles compare against tour-level players in TennisTrove.

Match Overview

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Andrey Rublev are set to meet at the Doha on February 19, 2026 in a hard-court singles match. Tsitsipas enters with a 3–0 record on hard courts in 2026, while Rublev has posted a 2–1 mark on hard courts this season. Elo ratings suggest a modest statistical edge for Rublev, but the gap is not overwhelming. In their head-to-head history, Rublev leads 5–3 over Tsitsipas, including a win in their most recent meeting.

Recent form has been mixed for both players, with Tsitsipas and Rublev alternating wins and losses across their last few singles outings.
Loading value signal…